Analysis of Lok Sabha Results in 4 Jat dominated constituencies of Haryana

[avinashb]

Here is the Constituency Wise Analysis of 4 Jat dominated Lok Sabha Constituencies of Haryana i.e. Hisar,Rohtak,Bhiwani-Mahendergarh and Sonipat.
From above 4 constituencies,3 Jat candidates got elected to 16th Lok Sabha.
Hisar – Dushyant Choutala – INLD
Rohtak – Deependra Singh Hooda – INC
Bhiwani-Mahendergarh – Dharambir Singh Panghal – BJP

[avinashb]

Hisar Lok Sabha



Constituency

Kuldeep Bishnoi(HJC)

Dushyant Chautala(INLD)

Remarks



Adampur

59479

43286

HJC lead by 16193 votes



Barwala

56576

43462

HJC lead by 13114 votes



Bawani Khera

57304

50762

HJC lead by 6542 votes



Hansi

55441

45876

HJC lead by 9565 votes



Hisar

67452

24238

HJC lead by 43214 votes



Nalwa

49494

44096

HJC lead by 5398 votes



Narnaund

39303

81687

INLD lead by 42384 votes



Uchana

36254

87243

INLD lead by 50989 votes



Uklana

40916

73563

INLD lead by 32647 votes



Total

462631

494478

INLD won by 31847 votes




It was already expected that INLD would get lead in only 3 seats(Uchana,Uklana and Narnaund) but lead was going to be around 1.25 lakh. It actually happened also. Despite Kuldeep Bishnoi leading in 6 seats,he suffered a loss of 31647 votes.
Main reason for the loss of Kuldeep Bishnoi was Jat voters of Adampur switching loyalty from HJC to INLD. Kuldeep Bishnoi could get lead of only 16,000 votes which was very less. He always used to get lead of more than 40,000 votes from Adampur. Otherwise it was highly polarised election and main credit for victory of INLD is unity of Jats only.

[avinashb]

Rohtak Lok Sabha



Constituency
OP Dhankhar(BJP)
Deependra Hooda(INC)
Shamsher Kharkara(INLD)
Remarks


Badli
38629
49637
10614
INC lead by 11008


Bahadurgarh
46811
42788
14106
BJP lead by 4023


Beri
26950
55444
14422
INC lead by 28494


Jhajjar
29526
51740
15881
INC lead by 22214


Kalanaur
25823
59151
18997
INC lead by 33328


Garhi Sampla Kiloi
18671
82564
19559
INC lead by 63005


Kosli
79758
37220
13267
BJP lead by 42538


Meham
11384
61982
38709
INC lead by 23273


Rohtak
41932
49379
5530
INC lead by 7447


Total
319436
490063
151120
INC won by 170627




It was already clear that Rohtak is cakewalk for Deependra Hooda.Despite his victory margin reduced to 1.70 lakh votes only,Jat voters remained loyal to him. Though he trailed in Bahadurgarh due to Ramesh Dalal factor but overall he was victorious. He faced the heat of Yadav votes in Kosli seat.Trailed here by more than 40,000 votes.

[avinashb]

Bhiwani-Mahendergarh Lok Sabha



Constituency
Dharambir(BJP)
Rao Bahadur(INLD)
Shruti(INC)
Remarks


Ateli
68570
25181
14522
BJP lead by 43389 votes


Badhra
30023
45743
37297
INLD lead by 8446 votes


Bhiwani
48313
19206
35328
BJP lead by 12985 votes


Dadri
38599
33679
33507
BJP lead by 4920 votes


Loharu
35601
35379
41636
INC lead by 6035 votes


Mahendergarh
55336
42390
14474
BJP lead by 12946 votes


Nangal Choudhary
41230
20040
25773
BJP lead by 15457 votes


Narnaul
47210
17843
15303
BJP lead by 29367 votes


Tosham
39183
35601
50167
INC lead by 10984 votes


Total
404542
275148
268115
BJP won by 129394 votes




Bhiwani-Mahendergarh was also a hot seat.Jat reservation,ego of mother-daughter duo and anti-incumbency of Central Government costed dear to Congress Candidate. Jat votes by large remained divided between Congress and INLD.
Due to Rao Inderjeet,Yadavs openly voted in favour of Dharambir despite knowing that he was a Jat. Got support of Rajputs,Brahmans and other backward castes also.
The sole startegy of Rao Inderjeet to defeat Shruti and INLD just to prosper his chances to become next CM of Haryana . Did not want INLD or Kiran Choudhary to flourish in Ahirwal area. Rao Inderjeet very well knew that Dharambir will remain a weak Jat in BJP. Dharmbir’s victory in Dadri was due to anti-incumbency against Kiran Choudhary. Otherwise he was not most popular among Jat voters of Bhiwani.

[avinashb]

Sonipat Lok Sabha



Constituency

Jagbir Malik(INC)

Padam Dahiya(INLD)

Ramesh Kaushik(BJP)

Remarks



Baroda

43439

29817

26110

INC lead by 13622 votes



Ganaur

33180

29077

37218

BJP lead by 4038 votes



Gohana

35466

28395

33726

INC lead by 1740 votes



Jind

16791

29862

50789

BJP lead by 20927 votes



Julana

23632

41895

33960

INLD lead by 7935 votes



Kharkhauda

32912

28081

24426

INC lead by 4831 votes



Rai

29978

29610

34932

BJP lead by 4954 votes



Safidon

25770

32067

47986

BJP lead by 15919 votes



Sonipat

28559

15840

57832

BJP lead by 29273 votes



Total

269735

264345

347095

BJP won by 77360 votes





Sonipat was a Jat-dominated seat.Ramesh Kaushik took advantage of division of Jat votes in this constituency. After seeing voting pattern it was clear that between Jat candidates,Jagbir Malik was more favourite in comparison to Padam Dahiya. Overall there was neck-to-neck competition between them.
Jats of Sonipat need to be more careful and tactical during voting in coming elections.

[avinashb]

From the voting pattern in the various constituencies of these 4 Lok Sabha Seats,it was clear that Congress and INLD were favourite parties for Jat voters . BJP was popular among non-Jat voters especially Yadavs(Ahirs),Brahamans,Rajputs and BC ‘A’ category which include backward classes like Khati,Nai,Sunar,etc.
Jat candidates of BJP viz. OP Dhankhar and Dharambir got huge support in Ahirwal area .Just look at Yadav dominated seats like Kosli,Mahendergarh,Narnaul,Ateli and Nangal Choudhary. They could get lead in 1 Jat dominated constituency each(Bahadurgarh and Dadri).


Due to unity of Jats across all 9 Vidhan Sabha coming under Hisar Lok Sabha,Dushyant Choutala was able to defeat anti-Jat candidate Kuldeep Bishnoi.
Due to division of Jat votes in Sonipat,a Brahman candidate was able to win easily.

Congress was at number 1 in more Vidhan Sabha seats as compared to INLD.
As usual INLD performed very poorly in urban areas/cities like Hisar,Jind,Rohtak,Bhiwani and Sonipat.

[dndeswal]

Rohtak Lok Sabha



Constituency

OP Dhankhar(BJP)

Deependra Hooda(INC)

Shamsher Kharkara(INLD)

Remarks



Badli

38629

49637

10614

INC lead by 11008



Bahadurgarh

46811

42788

14106

BJP lead by 4023



Beri

26950

55444

14422

INC lead by 28494



Jhajjar

29526

51740

15881

INC lead by 22214



Kalanaur

25823

59151

18997

INC lead by 33328



Garhi Sampla Kiloi

18671

82564

19559

INC lead by 63005



Kosli

79758

37220

13267

BJP lead by 42538



Meham

11384

61982

38709

INC lead by 23273



Rohtak

41932

49379

5530

INC lead by 7447



Total

490063

319436

151120

INC won by 170627








अविनाश, इस रोहतक वाली Table में तो कुछ गड़बड़ लगती है। Total में ओ. पी. धनखड़ के 490063 वोट दिखाये गये हैं और दीपेन्द्र हुड्डा के 319436 - जबकि जीत हुई है दीपेन्द्र की। कहीं ऊपर title में नामों का फेर-बदल तो नहीं हो गया ?

.

[avinashb]

अविनाश, इस रोहतक वाली Table में तो कुछ गड़बड़ लगती है। Total में ओ. पी. धनखड़ के 490063 वोट दिखाये गये हैं और दीपेन्द्र हुड्डा के 319436 - जबकि जीत हुई है दीपेन्द्र की। कहीं ऊपर title में नामों का फेर-बदल तो नहीं हो गया ?

.
Sorry Sir,by mistake I exchanged the values in 'Total' row of OP Dhankhar and Deependra Hooda .
Rest all the values are correct.

For more detailed result please refer to :
http://ceoharyana.nic.in/?module=pages&pageid=101
http://electharyana.nic.in/Dashboard/Dashboard.aspx

[skharb]

Hisar Lok Sabha



Constituency
Kuldeep Bishnoi(HJC)
Dushyant Chautala(INLD)
Remarks


Adampur
59479
43286
HJC lead by 16193 votes


Barwala
56576
43462
HJC lead by 13114 votes


Bawani Khera
57304
50762
HJC lead by 6542 votes


Hansi
55441
45876
HJC lead by 9565 votes


Hisar
67452
24238
HJC lead by 43214 votes


Nalwa
49494
44096
HJC lead by 5398 votes


Narnaund
39303
81687
INLD lead by 42384 votes


Uchana
36254
87243
INLD lead by 50989 votes


Uklana
40916
73563
INLD lead by 32647 votes


Total
462631
494478
INLD won by 31847 votes



It was already expected that INLD would get lead in only 3 seats(Uchana,Uklana and Narnaund) but lead was going to be around 1.25 lakh. It actually happened also. Despite Kuldeep Bishnoi leading in 6 seats,he suffered a loss of 31647 votes.
Main reason for the loss of Kuldeep Bishnoi was Jat voters of Adampur switching loyalty from HJC to INLD. Kuldeep Bishnoi could get lead of only 16,000 votes which was very less. He always used to get lead of more than 40,000 votes from Adampur. Otherwise it was highly polarised election and main credit for victory of INLD is unity of Jats only.
bawani khare s 8 ..9000 ki lead ki ummeed thi inld ko ............ramkisan fozzi kar gaya gadbad...adampur m to yahi tha socha hua .tha.

[skharb]

Sonipat Lok Sabha



Constituency
Jagbir Malik(INC)
Padam Dahiya(INLD)
Ramesh Kaushik(BJP)
Remarks


Baroda
43439
29817
26110
INC lead by 13622 votes


Ganaur
33180
29077
37218
BJP lead by 4038 votes


Gohana
35466
28395
33726
INC lead by 1740 votes


Jind
16791
29862
50789
BJP lead by 20927 votes


Julana
23632
41895
33960
INLD lead by 7935 votes


Kharkhauda
32912
28081
24426
INC lead by 4831 votes


Rai
29978
29610
34932
BJP lead by 4954 votes


Safidon
25770
32067
47986
BJP lead by 15919 votes


Sonipat
28559
15840
57832
BJP lead by 29273 votes


Total
269735
264345
347095
BJP won by 77360 votes




Sonipat was a Jat-dominated seat.Ramesh Kaushik took advantage of division of Jat votes in this constituency. After seeing voting pattern it was clear that between Jat candidates,Jagbir Malik was more favourite in comparison to Padam Dahiya. Overall there was neck-to-neck competition between them.
Jats of Sonipat need to be more careful and tactical during voting in coming elections.
kharkhoda key result s purani kahawat yad aa gayi .............gathwala bhaaiya ka arr dahiya jamai ka :)
jind ke voting s lagta h ki inld n seriously election nahi lada sonipat seat p !

[rsahra]

Faridabaad is also Jat dominated seat. wondering why nobody considered it so. Jats have highest voters in there.True,No Jat candidate could win for last 3 terms. Prior to that Bainda ( Jat Candidate) won 3 elections in a row

[DrRajpalSingh]

Faridabaad is also Jat dominated seat. wondering why nobody considered it so. Jats have highest voters in there.True,No Jat candidate could win for last 3 terms. Prior to that Bainda ( Jat Candidate) won 3 elections in a row

Perhaps after rapid industrialisation and consequent urbanisation has fragmented the caste equations and hold on the constituency.